Free tool · Lean AI

AI ROI Calculator

Estimate the annual value, payback period and return on investment of an AI improvement engagement, based on the capacity it releases from repetitive work.

Your numbers

Adjust the inputs to match your business. Results update instantly.
30%
25%

Your estimated return

Indicative Year-1 figures from your inputs.
5.3: 1 ROI
Above 5:1 target Cost-neutral in Year 1 ✓
Annual value of capacity released£131,250
Net Year-1 benefit (after cost)£106,250
Payback period2.3 months
Value released£131,250
Support cost£25,000

Indicative estimate only, not a guarantee. A Lean diagnostic produces a precise, defensible figure by mapping your actual value streams before any target is agreed.

How this AI ROI calculation works

Most AI business cases fail because they start with the technology and work backwards to a justification. This calculator does the opposite: it starts with the waste already in your operation, the repetitive, rules-based work that consumes skilled people's time, and estimates what releasing that capacity is worth.

Annual value released = headcount × average loaded salary × % time on repetitive work × % efficiency gain

From that annual value, the tool derives the three numbers that actually decide an AI investment:

What "cost-neutral in Year 1" means

An engagement is cost-neutral when the measurable return in the first year equals or exceeds its total cost. We price every Boxtree engagement so that Year-1 value at least covers the cost before any build begins, if the numbers don't stack up, we don't proceed. The defaults above are deliberately conservative; in practice a Lean diagnostic usually finds more recoverable capacity than a headline estimate suggests.

Why most AI projects miss their ROI

Industry research consistently finds that the large majority of AI initiatives struggle to demonstrate a return, not because the technology fails, but because it is deployed against problems that were never quantified. The fix is a disciplined, problem-led sequence: map the value stream, quantify the waste, agree measurable targets, and only then build. That is exactly the method this calculator approximates, and exactly what a Boxtree engagement delivers.

Want a precise figure for your business?

This tool gives you a directional estimate. A Lean AI Discovery turns it into a measurable, agreed target, mapped to your real processes and guaranteed cost-neutral in Year 1.

Book a Lean AI Discovery  →

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